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In “The Hound of the Baskervilles,” Sherlock Holmes solved a murder mystery by investigating the dog that didn’t bark. Similarly, one of the biggest wild cards of a potential Biden presidency comes from a question the media haven’t asked
Given his septuagenarian status, reporters have queried Biden about his mental and physical health. ABC’s David Muir posed the question in an interview right after the Democratic National Convention.
But while Biden has answered questions about whether he would need to leave the presidency involuntarily, due to death or disability, this observer has no recollection of a reporter asking him whether he would leave the presidency voluntarily, to “grease the skids” for Kamala Harris to succeed him. It sounds far-fetched, but it happens in Washington quite often.
No Second Term?
In the interview with Muir, Biden said he was “absolutely” leaving himself “open [to] the possibility you’ll serve eight years if elected.” But as Biden himself might say, Come on, man!
Politico has noted that, based on Biden’s age and sex, the 77-year-old has a roughly one in five chance of not completing his first term (using the same calculations, Donald Trump has a roughly 15 percent chance of not completing his second). The idea that he would run for re-election, which would see him leave office at age 86, is absurd on its face.
That fact explains why Politico reported late last year that Biden told his friends he won’t seek re-election, and why he has publicly called himself a “transition candidate” within his party.