Every ten years, states get the opportunity to redistrict whether or not they won seats in the House of Representatives. Redistricting means redrawing the boundaries, paving the way for gerrymandering, or creating parties for one party or the other. In the upcoming cycle, the GOP seems to be getting ahead of the Democrats in securing seats.
Republicans are planning to secure substantial gains in the upcoming midterm elections. In more than half of the US states, state legislatures and commissions have already proposed and finalized their new congressional district lines even before candidates have formally declared their plans. A dozen have already completed the decennial lines out of the 27 states, while an additional six only elect one member in an at-large district, so they do not need to draw boundary lines.
Republicans are determined to get their hands on at least one US House seat in Georgia, Montana, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin through the redistricting process. The Ohio legislators are currently trying to replace their 12 Republicans and 4 Democrats delegation to a 14 Republicans and 2 Democrats one.
The Republicans have strategically devised their map to favor the Democratic candidates but strengthen the GOP’s hold on the delegation. Governor Greg Abbott of Texas approved new maps that would improve the chances of Democrats in five congressional districts with Republican odds in two seats but strengthen GOP stronghold districts for a decade to come. The Democrats have also devised a strategy to divide their voters to avail themselves of US House seats in the district areas around their map.
In short, to assess who is likely to secure victory in the upcoming cycle, the comparison is being made from the voting results in 2020, which recorded a meager margin between Democrats and the Republicans. Considering the current situation of the Democrats and the ambiguities among people, Republicans have the edge over being confident in their victory.